
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:cw_base} Civil War Onset in Ethnic Group Segments, 1816-2017}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{5}{c}{Ethnic civil war onset $\times 100$}\\
      Model:                                   & (1)          & (2)            & (3)           & (4)           & (5)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      Lost home rule or lost unity             & 0.2783$^{*}$ & 0.3352$^{***}$ & 0.3369$^{**}$ &               &   \\   
                                               & (0.1055)     & (0.0943)       & (0.1059)      &               &   \\   
      Lost home rule only                      &              &                &               & 0.3947$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &              &                &               & (0.1238)      &   \\   
      Lost unity only                          &              &                &               & 0.2005$^{*}$  &   \\   
                                               &              &                &               & (0.0945)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity             &              &                &               & 0.3155$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &              &                &               & (0.1027)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (post-1816) &              &                &               &               & 0.4470$^{**}$\\   
                                               &              &                &               &               & (0.1546)\\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (pre-1816)  &              &                &               &               & 0.2545$^{*}$\\   
                                               &              &                &               &               & (0.1046)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      Year                                     & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Peace year                               & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      State                                    &              & Yes            & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Border duration                          &              &                & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Baseline controls                        & Yes          & Yes            & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                        &              &                & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                             & 40,142       & 40,142         & 40,142        & 40,142        & 39,971\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Clustered (State \& Aggregate group) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} OLS estimates of Civil War Onsets. The unit of analysis is the ethnic segment year. 
          Baseline controls: segment area relative to state-leading group, transborder ethnic kin dummy, national unity dummy. 
          Extended controls: logged country, aggregate group, and segment size in sqkm; ethnic fractionalization of country and aggregate group;
          logged distance to capital; war history (past years with ongoing civil war);
          time since last border change (FE). Standard errors clustered on country and aggregate ethnic group in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


